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The broker cut its 2019/2020 EPS estimates for UniCredit by around 3 percent due the Turkish situation. A spokeswoman for UniCredit said to refer to its first-half financial report for any information on its Turkish exposure. In presentation slides for those results, UniCredit said Yapi Kredi accounted for 2 percent of group revenues and a 10 percent drop in the lira would cut 2 basis points off its core capital ratio. The Dutch bank has a fully-owned subsidiary in the country, ING Turkey. Deutsche Bank analysts estimate a worst case scenario would translate into a hit of around 4 percent for ING’s book value due to the loss of equity as well as of intragroup funding.

JPMorgan Cazenove sees an up to 87 basis point erosion of ING’s core capital under an extreme scenario due to the large intragroup funding exposure, ING silver fuschia swarovski barrel cufflinks | uk did not respond to a request for comment, The French group controls 72 percent of the Economy Bank of Turkey (TEB), partly through a local joint venture, Deutsche Bank analysts estimate Turkey accounts for around 2.5 percent of BNP Paribas’ pretax profit, In a worst case scenario, the banking group would lose 1.7 percent of its net book value, they say..

(Reuters) - The National Retail Federation on Monday raised its U.S. retail sales forecast for 2018, citing higher wages, gains in disposable income and a strong job market that have boosted consumer spending. The trade body now expects retail sales for 2018, excluding automobiles, gasoline stations and restaurants, to rise a minimum of 4.5 percent over 2017, compared with the 3.8 to 4.4 percentage growth it forecasted earlier this year. 'Higher wages, gains in disposable income, a strong job market and record-high household net worth have all set the stage for very robust growth in the nation's consumer-driven economy,' NRF Chief Executive Officer Matthew Shay said in a statement here.

The industry group attributed its forecast raise to better-than-expected consumer spending in the first half of the year, Unemployment in the United States is at its lowest in 50 years and industrial production is growing at some of the fastest rates for 20 years, helping U.S, consumer sentiment rise to multi-decade highs, Several companies, including the world’s largest private employer Walmart Inc (WMT.N) and Costco Wholesale Corp (COST.O), have used reforms in the U.S, tax code to award bonuses, benefits and hike wages for silver fuschia swarovski barrel cufflinks | uk its employees..

“This is the best of times for retailers,” said Ken Perkins, founder of research firm Retail Metrics. Last year, U.S. retail sales rose 3.9 percent $3.53 trillion, exceeding NRF’s forecast for a 3.2 percent to 3.8 percent rise. NRF, however, cautioned that the tariff war between United States and China could lead to a rise in prices of day-to-day goods and a rise in global oil prices could dampen consumer confidence during the rest of the year. “Uncertainty surrounding the trade war and higher-than-expected inflation due in part to increased oil prices could make consumers cautious during the fall season,” NRF’s Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said.

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Bayer (BAYGn.DE) shares plunged as much as 14 percent on Monday, losing about $14 billion in value, after newly acquired Monsanto was ordered to pay $289 million in damages in the first of possibly thousands of U.S, lawsuits over alleged links between a weedkiller and cancer, After the silver fuschia swarovski barrel cufflinks | uk verdict in favor of a California school groundskeeper with terminal cancer, Monsanto faces more than 5,000 similar lawsuits across the United States over claims it did not warn of the cancer risks of glyphosate-based weedkillers, including its Roundup brand..

Monsanto, bought by Bayer this year for $63 billion, said that it would appeal against the jury’s verdict in California, which is the latest episode in a long-running debate over claims that exposure to Roundup can cause cancer. The case by plaintiff Dewayne Johnson, filed in 2016, was fast-tracked for trial due to the severity of his non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, a cancer of the lymph system that he alleges was caused by Roundup and Ranger Pro, another Monsanto glyphosate herbicide. “The jury’s verdict is at odds with the weight of scientific evidence, decades of real world experience and the conclusions of regulators around the world that all confirm glyphosate is safe and does not cause non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma,” Bayer said in a statement.

Having closed the Monsanto takeover, Bayer is only awaiting the approval of some final antitrust-related asset sales before folding it into its own organization, It did not negotiate any payments from Monsanto shareholders for Roundup-related litigation, Bayer shares were down 11.2 percent at 82.93 euros at 1320 GMT, the worst performing stock on the Stoxx Europe 600 index , and on track to close at their lowest in almost five years, silver fuschia swarovski barrel cufflinks | uk Barclays analysts said Bayer was in for a “litigious headache”..

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