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BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s soybean and soymeal prices jumped on Wednesday, with beans posting their biggest daily gain in a decade, as data showing a drop in soybean imports stirred supply concerns as a bitter trade dispute between Washington and Beijing plays out. Customs data showed arrivals fell in July as processors ended months of buying to build supplies before tariffs took effect. Beijing hit U.S. shipments of soybeans with a 25 percent tariff on July 6 in retaliation for a similar move by Washington as part of the tit-for-tat trade dispute.
While domestic inventories remain near record highs after crushers built up stockpiles sterling silver ribbed mother of pearl cufflinks of Brazilian beans ahead of the tariff deadline, analysts said the fall in imports kindled worries about supplies in the fourth quarter when the Brazilian crop is sold out and the next U.S, harvest starts, The United States is China’s No, 2 supplier of soybeans, which are processed to make cooking oil and animal feed, after Brazil, “Now we are getting close to the U.S, soybean season, (in September) news like the trade war escalation and falling imports will have a bigger impact on prices,” said Pan Tiantian, analyst with Zheshang Futures..
The most actively traded soybean futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) for January delivery DSAcv1 rallied 3.95 percent to close at 3,789 yuan ($555.93) per tonne on Wednesday, their biggest one-day gain since 2008. The most active DCE soymeal futures contract for January delivery DSMcv1 closed 2.43 percent higher at 3,289 yuan per tonne after hitting 3,302 yuan earlier in the afternoon, its highest since early April. The gains came as the United States said on Tuesday that it would begin collecting 25 percent tariffs on another $16 billion worth of Chinese goods on Aug. 23, as it published a final tariff list targeting 279 imported product lines.
BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s exports growth unexpectedly accelerated in July despite fresh U.S, tariffs, while its trade surplus with the United States remained near record highs as Beijing and Washington sterling silver ribbed mother of pearl cufflinks ramped up a bitter dispute that has rattled financial markets, Imports also rose much faster in July thanks to still solid domestic demand, official data showed on Wednesday, with purchases of commodities like copper and iron ore rising from June, The headline numbers are the first readings of the overall trade picture for the world’s second-largest economy since U.S duties on $34 billion of Chinese imports came into effect on July 6..
China’s closely watched surplus with the United States dipped only slightly to $28.09 billion last month from a record $28.97 billion in June. Washington has long criticized China’s trade surplus with the United States and has demanded Beijing cut it. Still, disagreements between the two major economic powers run deeper than just the trade balance and tensions remain over market access, intellectual property, technology transfer and investment. The United States and China implemented tariffs on $34billion worth of each other’s goods in July. Since then, Washington and Beijing have raised the stakes by threatening more punitive trade measures in an intensifying dispute that has rattled financial markets worried about the impact on investment and growth.
The two sides have shown no signs of letting up, with the U.S, earlier Wednesday saying it will begin collecting 25 percent tariffs on another $16 billion in Chinese goods on Aug, 23, and Chinese media resorting to personal attacks against Trump earlier in the week, China’s sterling silver ribbed mother of pearl cufflinks July exports rose 12.2 percent from a year earlier, beating forecasts for a 10 percent increase according to the latest Reuters poll, and up from a 11.2 percent gain in June, A weaker yuan, which marked its worst 4-month fall on record between April and July, may have taken the sting out of 25 percent tariffs on $34 billion exports to the United States, However, analysts still expect a less favorable trade balance for China in coming months given it’s early days in the tariff brawl..
“Looking ahead, we expect export growth to cool in the coming months, though this will primarily reflect softer global growth rather than US tariffs, the direct impact of which will continue to be mostly offset by the renminbi’s (yuan’s) recent depreciation,” Capital Economics’ Senior China Economist Julian Evans-Pritchard wrote in a note. After a strong start to the year, growth in the world’s second-largest economy cooled slightly in the second quarter, partly hit by the government’s years-long efforts to tackle debt risks.
The worry is that the escalating Sino-U.S, trade war, rising corporate bankruptcies, and sterling silver ribbed mother of pearl cufflinks a steep decline in the value of the yuan versus the dollar could put a significant dent on the economy, The government has responded by releasing more liquidity into the banking system, encouraging lending and promising a more “active” fiscal policy, Imports grew 27.3 percent in July, customs said, beating analysts’ forecast of 16.2 percent growth, and compared with a 14.1 percent rise in June..