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The core PCE hit the U.S. central bank’s 2 percent inflation target in March for the first time since December 2011. U.S. labor costs, a key measure of how much slack is left in the market, posted their largest annual gain since 2008 in the second quarter, the Labor Department said on Tuesday. Economic growth has been buoyed by the Trump administration’s package of tax cuts and government spending, and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said overall the economy is in a “really good place.”.
The unemployment rate stands at 4.0 percent, lower than the level seen sustainable by Fed policymakers, The central bank is expected to continue to raise rates through 2019 but policymakers black locomotive train cufflinks are keenly debating when the so-called “neutral rate” - the sweet spot in which monetary policy is neither expansive nor restrictive - will be hit, Rate setters are closely watching for signs that inflation is accelerating and they are expecting economic growth to slow as the fiscal stimulus fades..
They also remain wary of the potential effects of a protracted trade war between the United States and China which could push the cost of goods higher and hurt company investment plans. The Fed’s policy path will see interest rates peak at much lower levels than in previous economic cycles. Even so, Trump, in a departure from usual practice that presidents do not comment on Fed policy, said he was worried growth would be hit by higher rates. Administration officials played down the president’s comments, saying he was not seeking to influence the Fed.
On the campaign trail, Trump criticized Powell’s predecessor as Fed chief, Janet Yellen, for keeping rates too low, Trump appointed Powell and Fed Governor Randal Quarles, and he has three other nominees to the rate-setting committee awaiting U.S, Senate confirmation, Almost all have been seen as mainstream in their attitude to economic policy, Economists say Trump has little influence over Fed policy beyond the personnel changes he has already made, Trump’s tweets are a far cry from the 1970s when then-President Richard Nixon told the black locomotive train cufflinks Fed chairman to kick rate setters “in the rump” to keep rates low until after an election, That stoked inflation and eventually strengthened the Fed’s independence, something that has become even more entrenched since..
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. labor costs increased in the second quarter as employers boosted benefits for workers, leading to the largest annual increase since 2008. The Employment Cost Index, the broadest measure of labor costs, rose 0.6 percent after an unrevised 0.8 percent advance in the first quarter, the Labor Department said on Tuesday. Labor costs increased 2.8 percent year-on-year, the biggest annual gain since September 2008 and followed a 2.7 percent advance in the first quarter. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the ECI rising 0.7 percent in the April-June quarter.
Wages and salaries, which account for 70 percent of employment costs, rose 0.5 percent in the second quarter, They increased 0.9 percent in the first three months of the year, Wages and salaries were up 2.8 percent in the 12 months through June, also the biggest annual gain since September 2008, Economists expect a significant acceleration in wage growth in the second half of the year, boosted by a tightening labor market, The labor market is considered to be black locomotive train cufflinks near or at full employment, with a 4 percent jobless rate..
The ECI is widely viewed by policymakers and economists as one of the better measures of labor market slack. It is also considered a better predictor of core inflation. Economists say labor costs need to rise by at least 3 percent to lift inflation to the U.S. central bank’s 2 percent inflation target. Private sector wages and salaries rose 0.6 percent in the second quarter. They were up 2.9 percent in the 12 months through June after a similar gain in the year to March. Benefits for all workers increased 0.9 percent in the April-June quarter, the biggest gain in four years, after rising 0.7 percent in the first quarter. They were up 2.9 percent in the 12 months through June, the largest increase December 2011, after rising 2.6 percent in the year to March.
TOKYO (Reuters) - black locomotive train cufflinks The Bank of Japan pledged to keep its massive stimulus in place but made tweaks to reduce adverse effects of its policies on markets and commercial banks, reflecting the central bank’s view that its inflation target remains stubbornly out of reach, At a two-day rate review that ended on Tuesday, the Bank of Japan kept its interest rate targets steady but for the first time adopted a forward guidance on future policy, saying it will keep rates “very low” for an “extended period of time.”..
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